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Red52
7023.3
7412.9
261715.7
Blue121
2728.3
21621.5
214517.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4960020408010012052121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#23
23.30.1
23.923.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
27
#4
28.33.1
25.728.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2617
#22
15.70.1
15.815.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
216
#11
21.53.1
17.720.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
74
#38
12.90.1
10.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2145
#12
17.73.1
14.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End