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Red50
247413.7
207516.7
189614.1
Blue20
171113.1
102311.6
261715.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444501001502005020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2075
#26
16.70.3
16.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
2617
#22
15.71.4
17.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1896
#27
14.10.3
13.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1711
#29
13.11.3
14.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2474
#28
13.70.3
13.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1023
#36
11.61.5
13.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End