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Red58
171112.4
277116.6
218816.8
Blue91
14118.8
215314.4
20124.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375302060801001205891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2188
#18
16.81.6
13.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
201
#5
24.03.3
17.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2771
#12
16.612.5
26.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
141
#13
18.83.3
20.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1711
#30
12.41.6
12.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2153
#23
14.43.3
13.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End