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Red40
150612.4
215314.4
31415.5
Blue52
29595.7
90421.3
4407.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43380102030506070804052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#16
15.50.2
16.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
904
#2
21.31.1
18.519.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2153
#23
14.40.2
16.015.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
440
#37
7.31.1
11.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1506
#33
12.40.2
9.79.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2959
#38
5.71.1
9.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End