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Red40
277116.6
21615.0
8589.8
Blue70
218816.8
260415.2
150612.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385002060801001204070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#12
16.60.0
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2188
#18
16.81.8
19.521.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#29
15.00.0
14.514.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2604
#32
15.21.8
18.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
858
#34
9.80.0
13.313.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1506
#33
12.41.8
10.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End