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Red60
28814.5
264519.8
159617.3
Blue34
4912.6
21615.0
14118.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4255020801001201406034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.4
11.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
141
#13
18.81.6
23.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.31.4
17.118.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
216
#29
15.01.6
13.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
288
#31
14.51.4
15.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
49
#28
12.61.6
15.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End