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Red85
191818.8
90421.3
218816.8
Blue86
261219.7
12320.2
20124.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536502040801001201408586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#2
21.30.5
20.721.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
201
#5
24.00.4
23.924.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.80.5
18.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
123
#3
20.20.4
20.120.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2188
#18
16.80.5
16.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2612
#14
19.70.4
19.620.0
Auto
Teleop
End