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Qual 112009 Hawaii Regional
Red38
183411.3
246713.5
26299.0
Blue52
244414.9
209017.9
250414.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314202060801003852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2467
#16
13.50.5
7.2→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.4
2090
#13
17.90.9
14.3→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1834
#25
11.30.4
12.6→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.6
2504
#9
14.90.9
12.0→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2629
#31
9.00.5
12.4→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.9
2444
#15
14.90.9
14.4→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—