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Red46
293214.2
244310.7
245413.7
Blue38
244414.9
243913.4
245913.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44410102030506070804638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2932
#23
14.20.2
14.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2444
#15
14.90.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2454
#19
13.70.2
13.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2459
#28
13.70.3
14.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2443
#22
10.70.2
15.115.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
2439
#10
13.40.2
12.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End