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Qual 212009 Hawaii Regional
Red38
185915.1
36826.7
207715.6
Blue34
243712.2
24659.7
289612.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583302040801001203834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
26.71.4
21.5→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.0
2896
#27
12.70.2
13.7→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2077
#11
15.60.9
17.2→16.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.5
2437
#30
12.20.1
12.4→12.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1859
#12
15.11.4
16.3→14.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.4
2465
#29
9.70.2
10.0→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—