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Red59
245518.3
209017.9
245913.7
Blue69
310513.3
245315.9
285314.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060805969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2455
#18
18.31.1
15.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
15.92.6
14.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2090
#13
17.91.1
17.218.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
2853
#20
14.42.6
11.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2459
#28
13.71.1
13.814.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3105
#17
13.32.6
11.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End