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Qual 32009 Hawaii Regional
Red28
245518.3
289612.7
243913.4
Blue26
250414.9
243712.2
234824.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373902060801001201401602826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2455
#18
18.30.8
15.1→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
2348
#2
24.81.1
12.0→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2439
#10
13.40.7
9.7→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.5
2504
#9
14.91.1
13.1→12.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2896
#27
12.70.9
12.7→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2437
#30
12.20.9
13.7→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—