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Qual 302009 Hawaii Regional
Red22
243712.2
245413.7
310513.3
Blue54
281315.1
246013.0
209017.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384802060801002254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2454
#19
13.71.5
13.4→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
2090
#13
17.90.6
18.3→18.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3105
#17
13.31.5
14.4→12.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
2813
#21
15.10.4
14.0→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2437
#30
12.20.9
11.9→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
2460
#24
13.00.6
14.7→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—