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Qual 402009 Hawaii Regional
Red72
113821.2
36826.7
310513.3
Blue18
243913.4
209017.9
207715.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56502040801007218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#4
26.71.3
23.0→24.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.8
2090
#13
17.92.6
19.4→16.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1138
#3
21.20.8
20.3→21.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
2077
#11
15.61.6
17.4→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3105
#17
13.31.4
12.2→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.1
2439
#10
13.41.6
14.1→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—