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Red40
209017.9
30083.7
24779.0
Blue65
19228.5
245913.7
293214.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405202060801001201404065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2090
#13
17.90.2
14.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
192
#1
28.50.7
23.324.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2477
#33
9.00.2
14.914.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
2932
#23
14.20.5
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#32
3.78.7
3.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
2459
#28
13.71.2
15.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End