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Red56
245413.7
245315.9
234824.8
Blue48
243712.2
243817.4
293214.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564320801001205648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.80.1
24.024.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
2438
#14
17.40.2
18.018.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.90.1
17.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2932
#23
14.20.2
14.114.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2454
#19
13.70.1
12.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2437
#30
12.20.2
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End