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Qual 522009 Hawaii Regional
Red44
207715.6
246713.5
243817.4
Blue6
30083.7
289612.7
26299.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5028020406080100446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#14
17.40.2
18.2→18.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.7
2896
#27
12.71.7
14.2→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2077
#11
15.60.1
15.2→15.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
2629
#31
9.01.7
10.8→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2467
#16
13.50.2
13.3→13.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.9
3008
#32
3.71.7
6.3→4.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—