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Qual 562009 Hawaii Regional
Red40
244310.7
245518.3
244517.1
Blue55
207715.6
281315.1
310513.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50411020306070804055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2455
#18
18.30.5
19.3→18.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.7
2077
#11
15.60.6
15.1→15.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2445
#7
17.10.6
18.4→17.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
2813
#21
15.10.6
14.6→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2443
#22
10.70.5
11.3→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.5
3105
#17
13.30.8
12.6→13.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—