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Red38
152512.6
276915.8
213616.7
Blue74
294013.9
173224.6
211212.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434210203050607080903874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2136
Unranked
16.70.3
14.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1732
Unranked
24.62.6
21.223.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2769
Unranked
15.80.3
13.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
2940
Unranked
13.91.5
13.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1525
Unranked
12.60.3
13.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2112
Unranked
12.12.6
9.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End