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Red85
100018.2
276915.8
102423.9
Blue28
236414.8
152512.6
167515.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524202060801008528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
Unranked
23.92.9
21.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
1675
Unranked
15.51.2
15.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
18.22.9
16.219.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2364
Unranked
14.81.2
14.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2769
Unranked
15.82.9
12.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1525
Unranked
12.61.2
13.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End