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Red53
278119.0
13276.7
178117.9
Blue40
185017.2
310710.9
173917.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070805340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2781
Unranked
19.00.7
18.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1850
Unranked
17.20.1
15.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
Unranked
17.90.7
17.918.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1739
Unranked
17.10.1
15.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1327
Unranked
6.70.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3107
Unranked
10.90.1
10.810.6
Auto
Teleop
End