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Red52
28039.0
21159.9
274123.9
Blue78
203926.2
185017.2
109119.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4846203040607080901005278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2741
Unranked
23.90.4
22.823.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2039
Unranked
26.22.6
18.921.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2115
Unranked
9.90.4
12.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1091
Unranked
19.22.6
12.715.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2803
Unranked
9.00.4
12.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
1850
Unranked
17.22.6
15.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End