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Red75
272512.9
215115.9
162538.8
Blue90
8122.5
273919.9
111438.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59760501001507590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
Unranked
38.81.1
33.334.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1114
Unranked
38.81.4
37.238.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2151
Unranked
15.91.1
16.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
81
Unranked
22.51.4
18.920.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2725
Unranked
12.91.1
11.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.0
2739
Unranked
19.91.4
17.618.9
Auto
Teleop
End