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Red72
167515.5
175517.9
238114.6
Blue54
310710.9
165219.5
211212.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414120305060707254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1755
Unranked
17.92.6
16.719.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1652
Unranked
19.51.1
18.219.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1675
Unranked
15.52.6
15.217.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
2112
Unranked
12.11.1
12.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2381
Unranked
14.62.6
9.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3107
Unranked
10.91.1
10.611.7
Auto
Teleop
End