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Red102
203926.2
11132.1
213616.7
Blue64
102423.9
185017.2
233815.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655402040608010012010264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
Unranked
32.13.2
28.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.2
1024
Unranked
23.90.7
25.726.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2039
Unranked
26.23.2
22.025.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
1850
Unranked
17.20.7
18.319.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2136
Unranked
16.73.2
13.716.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2338
Unranked
15.60.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End