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Red50
235821.0
109119.2
294013.9
Blue85
249011.7
306118.6
162538.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50700204060801001201401605085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2358
Unranked
21.00.2
22.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
1625
Unranked
38.81.5
37.438.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1091
Unranked
19.20.2
17.517.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3061
Unranked
18.61.5
18.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2940
Unranked
13.90.2
12.812.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2490
Unranked
11.71.5
10.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End