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Red48
274123.9
165219.5
13276.7
Blue32
243211.1
174119.4
306716.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049203040607080904832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2741
Unranked
23.90.1
23.122.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1741
Unranked
19.41.5
20.318.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1652
Unranked
19.50.1
19.819.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3067
Unranked
16.11.5
16.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1327
Unranked
6.70.1
6.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
2432
Unranked
11.11.5
12.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End