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Red50
173224.6
249011.7
273919.9
Blue38
100018.2
173917.1
175517.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586202040801001201401605038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
24.60.7
25.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1000
Unranked
18.21.8
22.620.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2739
Unranked
19.90.7
20.619.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1755
Unranked
17.91.9
19.817.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2490
Unranked
11.70.7
12.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1739
Unranked
17.11.8
18.917.1
Auto
Teleop
End