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Red48
243211.1
253315.1
203926.2
Blue51
278119.0
215115.9
152512.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525130406070804851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
Unranked
26.20.3
25.224.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
2781
Unranked
19.00.0
20.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2533
Unranked
15.10.3
15.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2151
Unranked
15.90.0
17.517.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2432
Unranked
11.10.3
11.411.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1525
Unranked
12.60.0
12.612.6
Auto
Teleop
End