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Red68
165219.5
204124.4
173224.6
Blue70
233815.6
13528.7
203926.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871204060801001201406870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
135
Unranked
28.70.0
28.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2041
Unranked
24.40.0
24.524.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2039
Unranked
26.20.0
26.126.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1652
Unranked
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2338
Unranked
15.60.0
15.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End