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Red30
23433.3
286711.2
164613.7
Blue65
208130.8
172020.9
176020.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63653040507080901001103065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#4
33.31.7
32.630.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
30.80.0
29.529.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
#22
13.71.7
15.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.2
20.90.0
19.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2867
#26
11.22.8
14.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
20.80.0
16.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End