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Red50
164613.7
176020.8
39316.2
Blue10
15299.1
29095.1
13528.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47592040805010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.1
17.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
135
#18
28.22.4
33.330.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
393
#15
16.20.1
16.816.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
1529
#34
9.13.4
13.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#22
13.70.1
14.614.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2909
#32
5.13.4
9.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End