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Red50
102419.0
83020.7
46122.1
Blue100
6830.0
25433.4
167519.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6485204010012014050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
Unranked
22.10.9
23.923.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.2
254
Unranked
33.40.9
35.136.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
20.70.9
21.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
68
Unranked
30.00.9
29.930.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1024
Unranked
19.00.9
22.321.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1675
Unranked
19.00.9
17.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End