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Red18
164615.1
179112.1
57317.6
Blue119
153830.1
50328.1
172023.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46790206010012018119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
17.61.6
20.218.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
1538
Unranked
30.12.2
27.129.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1646
Unranked
15.11.6
15.714.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
503
Unranked
28.12.2
25.227.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1791
Unranked
12.12.1
14.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.9
1720
Unranked
23.92.2
22.624.8
Auto
Teleop
End