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Red96
100019.3
297030.2
7138.3
Blue76
7931.0
25433.4
192320.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84942040601001201409676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
38.30.6
36.937.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
254
Unranked
33.40.8
35.834.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2970
Unranked
30.20.6
29.129.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
79
Unranked
31.00.8
33.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1000
Unranked
19.30.6
18.919.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1923
Unranked
20.40.8
23.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End