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Red76
221714.4
305218.8
157913.3
Blue12
30949.0
306517.8
194214.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40440102030506070807612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.83.0
15.918.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3065
#13
17.82.6
15.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2217
#31
14.43.0
12.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1942
#23
14.72.6
14.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1579
#38
13.33.0
11.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
3094
#43
9.02.6
13.010.4
Auto
Teleop
End