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Red40
195512.7
306412.7
221212.7
Blue30
30845.6
221113.4
303413.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413202060804030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3064
#19
12.70.0
16.616.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3034
#27
13.40.3
12.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2212
#18
12.70.0
12.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2211
#36
13.40.3
14.614.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1955
#34
12.70.0
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
3084
#47
5.60.3
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End