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Red70
307315.3
195721.2
30868.2
Blue54
221417.2
30949.0
22169.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34370102030506070807054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1957
#10
21.22.9
17.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2214
#21
17.21.4
13.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3073
#22
15.32.9
8.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
2216
#28
9.21.4
13.815.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3086
#33
8.22.9
8.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3094
#43
9.01.4
9.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End