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Red20
30879.3
157810.3
307621.8
Blue68
169024.2
223116.5
221212.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425002060801002068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3076
#11
21.81.9
23.421.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
24.21.6
20.622.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1578
#39
10.31.9
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
16.51.6
15.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3087
#44
9.31.9
9.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
2212
#18
12.71.6
12.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End