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Red42
309211.8
221417.2
195512.7
Blue44
195411.1
305218.8
307621.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3555020801001204244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2214
#21
17.20.4
15.816.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
3076
#11
21.80.7
21.520.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1955
#34
12.70.4
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
18.80.7
16.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3092
#35
11.80.4
9.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1954
#41
11.10.7
13.813.1
Auto
Teleop
End