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Red60
303413.4
165723.2
194618.5
Blue30
193712.7
265015.7
30868.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801006030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
19.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
2650
#25
15.70.7
12.612.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
18.50.6
19.820.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1937
#26
12.70.7
13.112.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3034
#27
13.40.6
14.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3086
#33
8.20.7
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End