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Red10
309211.8
157810.3
26729.4
Blue36
193712.7
195512.7
266912.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3338010205060701036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3092
#35
11.81.8
10.48.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2669
#12
12.90.1
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1578
#39
10.31.8
11.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1937
#26
12.70.1
12.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2672
#32
9.41.8
11.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
1955
#34
12.70.1
12.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End