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Red68
194214.7
194410.4
165723.2
Blue22
157713.5
30845.6
15809.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403101020506070806822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.22.3
19.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1577
#16
13.50.8
13.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#23
14.72.3
11.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1580
#46
9.80.8
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1944
#45
10.42.3
8.110.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3084
#47
5.60.8
6.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End