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Red60
157319.9
169024.2
193712.7
Blue18
221714.4
306412.7
221113.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59472040801006018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.20.2
24.424.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
2217
#31
14.42.0
17.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.90.2
20.620.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
2211
#36
13.42.0
16.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1937
#26
12.70.2
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3064
#19
12.72.0
14.812.7
Auto
Teleop
End