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Red30
157427.0
157913.3
263021.8
Blue52
221417.2
223016.8
165723.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6655204060801003052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.00.7
27.727.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
23.20.1
23.022.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
21.80.7
22.521.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2214
#21
17.20.1
17.016.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1579
#38
13.30.7
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2230
#20
16.80.1
16.616.5
Auto
Teleop
End