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Red82
193928.4
198220.4
233513.8
Blue64
176417.0
199214.1
171013.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001201401608264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.40.5
28.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
17.00.5
16.417.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.40.5
19.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1992
#16
14.10.5
13.614.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2335
#31
13.80.6
13.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1710
#12
13.40.5
12.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End