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Red20
198619.8
199616.4
217715.5
Blue76
216423.2
182517.6
198517.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554203040506070802076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#17
19.80.9
20.719.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
23.20.6
21.922.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16.40.9
17.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1985
#11
17.70.6
16.416.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2177
#10
15.50.9
16.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1825
#18
17.60.6
16.316.9
Auto
Teleop
End