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Red72
287416.4
144820.7
236616.0
Blue28
234517.4
199411.1
220113.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39371020305060707228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1448
#28
20.72.8
14.016.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
2345
#38
17.40.8
15.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2874
#23
16.42.8
12.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
2201
#54
13.70.8
11.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2366
#34
16.02.8
12.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1994
#49
11.10.8
11.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End