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Red54
93713.8
109815.9
198118.1
Blue68
184711.4
93521.1
198619.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445701001505468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1981
#26
18.10.7
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
935
#5
21.11.0
20.521.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1098
#50
15.90.7
15.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1986
#17
19.81.0
22.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
937
#51
13.80.7
15.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1847
#53
11.41.0
12.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End