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Red60
19849.9
180630.6
176417.0
Blue24
173714.1
236616.0
177518.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4745203040506070806024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.61.2
23.724.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.5
1775
#27
18.11.8
17.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
17.01.2
11.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2366
#34
16.01.8
17.615.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1984
#44
9.91.2
10.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
1737
#22
14.11.8
11.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End